A former US Treasury special agent maps how criminal proceeds really move - mispriced trade, hawala, commodities - and why anti-money laundering regimes built around wire transfers miss most of it.
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Counterparty risk is the exposure you take on from the people you transact with — their solvency, their conduct, and their own counterparties. It rarely announces itself, and it is usually priced at zero until it is not. This guide sets out what counterparty risk actually covers, where it hides in ordinary commercial relationships, and how to assess it without stalling the deal.
Most business planning treats politics as background noise until a border closes, a currency is restricted, a sanctions list expands, or a local partner turns out to be politically exposed. Geopolitics rarely appears on a risk register, and it is one of the few risks that can invalidate an entire market entry at once. This piece covers how political change reaches the balance sheet, and what to watch for.